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Analysis

Bitcoin’s potentially bearish Head and Shoulder pattern could have it retest $9,400 level for fourth time

Akash Girimath

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Source: Unsplash


Bitcoin’s potential Head and Shoulder pattern is still underway and it will reach a conclusion today, unless the price decides to go sideways again. The price of BTC has slowly trickled down from a high of $10,950 to a current price of $10,250, by forming lower highs.

Head & Shoulder

Source: TradingView

This pattern and many like it can only be considered a pattern when and if the price breaches the neckline. If not, the pattern is considered invalid. As seen above, this is a variation of an actual Head and Shoulder pattern.

There are two supports for Bitcoin in a lower timeframe, a decline to support that has been tested 4 times since the formation of the above-mentioned pattern and an almost horizontal support ranging from $10,200 to $10,300. The price is sitting at this latter support; breaching this would push the price of Bitcoin to $10,000 and $9900, which happens to be the neckline for the Head and Shoulder pattern.

Bearish Scenario

Source: TradingView

If the price drops below the neckline, it would be a free fall for BTC prices to head as low as $9,300 and retest this support for the fifth time in over three months.

The Targets

The short term targets, as mentioned above, include $10,000 and $9,900.

The medium-term targets can be seen clearly in the above chart with Fibonacci retracements, i.e. $9,700, $9,500, and $9,400 to $9,300.

Bitcoin Dominance

Bitcoin’s dominance breached the 70-level in August 2019 and has managed to stay above it for quite a while now. However, BTC dominance seems to be trending in a parallel channel and has stuck within it for quite a while in the daily time frame.

Adam Back, CEO and Co-founder of Blockstream, tweeted that Bitcoin dominance will undergo mean reversion, pushing it to prior highs of 90, and even higher.

While many tried to digest this, others criticized this idea. But, if what Back says does happen, then the altcoins will be officially pronounced dead. Considering the current state of crypto-Twitter, many of whom are hoping for an alt season to strike, this would be very bad news for them.

Akash is a full-time cryptocurrency writer and an analyst at AMBCrypto. He is an engineering graduate with an avid interest in finance and economics. Attracted to the chaos of trading, Akash has invested in BTC, ETH and XRP for educational purposes.