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Riot stock surges 45% in a month, but why investors remain cautious

2min Read

Despite bullish forecasts, Riot still holds a “Sell” rating are analysts overly cautious, or do they see something we don’t?

Riot stock surges 45% in a month, but why investors remain cautious

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Key Takeaways

Riot Platforms is riding strong bullish momentum driven by Bitcoin’s rally and investor optimism, but now, its earnings report could be a decisive moment for the stock’s trajectory.


Riot Platforms [RIOT] is making waves on Wall Street, closing at $14.02 after a 1.15% daily gain that outpaced the broader market.

With trading volume soaring over 150% on 21st July to 18.8 billion, the Bitcoin [BTC] mining firm not only outperformed the S&P 500 but also secured a spot among the top 30 most traded stocks of the day.

In the broader picture, its stock has climbed nearly 45% over the past month, far ahead of both the Finance sector and the broader market rally.

Reasons behind Riot stock surge

Options activity around RIOT has spiked, pointing to growing speculative interest.

Investors appear increasingly optimistic about the stock’s trajectory, especially with Bitcoin recently surging past $120,000.

Although BTC has pulled back slightly to $118,485.36 (down 1.42% over the past week), the overall bullish trend continues to support Riot’s rally.

This pattern mirrors last month, when a Bitcoin price jump helped fuel Riot’s stock rise.

However, challenges remain. According to IntoTheBlock data, miner rewards are declining, a headwind that could impact long-term margins if sustained.

Miner reward

Source: IntoTheBlock

Still, Riot’s strong fundamentals, strategic outlook, and alignment with Bitcoin’s market cycles keep it firmly on investors’ radar.

As Riot Platforms heads toward its earnings release on 31st July, investor attention is sharply focused on whether the Bitcoin mining firm can deliver on high expectations.

With a projected year-over-year revenue growth of nearly 114% and an EPS improvement of over 40%, the numbers point toward a company attempting to pivot out of prolonged losses.

Riot’s Zacks ranking

Still, despite encouraging forecasts, Riot ranks 4th Zacks Rank, indicating analysts remain wary about its near-term outlook.

That said, recent revisions to earnings forecasts suggest a shift in sentiment, with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate climbing 2.37% over the past month.

Given the correlation between estimate changes and stock performance, this could be a leading indicator of better days ahead.

Still, Riot’s performance will likely be influenced by broader crypto market trends, especially Bitcoin’s price movement, and how the company manages rising operational pressures in the post-halving environment.

In the end, the upcoming earnings report could be a key inflection point.

Whether Riot Platforms can convert analyst optimism into tangible results remains to be seen, but for now, the market will be watching closely. 

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Ishika is a graduate of Political Science from the University of Delhi. From writing content as a hobby to now pursuing it as a professional career, she has been living and breathing content all her life. Her interests lie in making sure articles are very digestible to a common reader, despite all its technicalities and jargons.
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