Is Bitcoin’s retreat to $96,000 a setup for another rally?
- BTC has dropped into a bear trend, according to its RSI.
- Despite the drop, there has been an increase in the supply to whales.
Bitcoin [BTC] is stabilizing at around $96,000 after a minor retracement from its recent high near $100,000. A convergence of on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggests strong market confidence, with whales accumulating and realized losses decreasing.
Additionally, the price remains well-supported by key moving averages, reinforcing its bullish trajectory.
Bitcoin price holds critical levels amid consolidation
AMBCrypto’s analysis of the daily timeframe chart shows Bitcoin trading at $96,169, maintaining support above the 50-day Moving Average (MA) at $92,413. The sustained break above the 50-day and 200-day MAs earlier this year has positioned Bitcoin in a strong uptrend.
While Bitcoin briefly surpassed the psychological $100,000 mark, the retracement reflects healthy profit-taking rather than a trend reversal.
Trading volume remains strong, underscoring sustained market participation. Staying above $96,000 is crucial for bulls to defend, as it aligns with a key consolidation zone from earlier in the rally.
On-chain metrics signal bullish strength
Analysis of the Realized Loss by LTH/STH chart, per Glassnode data, shows a decline. The decline in realized losses for short-term and long-term holders coincided with Bitcoin’s recent price surge.
This indicates reduced sell pressure, as holders are increasingly confident in Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.
Similarly, the Short-Term On-Chain Cost Basis Bands chart shows Bitcoin’s price firmly above the realized price for short-term holders. As of this writing, the realized price for STH is around $85,272.
Also, the low band price is around $65,963, while the high band is around $121.111. Historically, such alignments signal bullish momentum, as short-term holders are now in profit and less likely to sell.
Whale activity reinforces confidence
The Bitcoin Supply Heatmap chart confirms significant whale accumulation at higher price levels, particularly above $85,000.
The heatmap shows large clusters of Bitcoin shifting to wallets at these levels, reducing liquidity and strengthening price floors. This accumulation underscores the strong conviction among major investors.
Strong fundamentals support Bitcoin’s rally
Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $96,000, coupled with bullish on-chain signals like diminishing realized losses and whale accumulation, suggests the rally remains intact.
Read Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024-25
While minor retracements are healthy, Bitcoin’s alignment with key technical levels and increased demand at higher price buckets support a long-term bullish outlook.
Traders should monitor the $92,000 support level and further whale activity as potential catalysts for Bitcoin’s next leg upward.