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Dogecoin – Why THIS support could be DOGE’s key to a comeback

2min Read

DOGE holds the line at $0.20 – Capitulation or just a leverage reset?

DOGE

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Key Takeaways

DOGE is leaning into the $0.20 demand zone after a 17% drop. Smart money scooped up 310 million coins as Open Interest dropped 18%, signaling a leverage reset rather than spot-led panic.


The memecoin sector faced a sharp technical unwind this week. In the last 24 hours alone, nearly $10 billion in capital exited the space, slashing total market cap by 10.81% to $75.5 billion.

Dogecoin [DOGE] wasn’t immune to the drawdown. Price rolled over from its $0.28 local top to $0.23, putting holders at an unrealized loss of around 17%.

Here’s why it matters: DOGE’s SOPR dropped from 1.16 to 1.08 in under five days. Historically, a break below 1 marks full-blown capitulation, as holders move from passive drawdown to active exit.

DOGE SOPR

Source: Glassnode

That said, as long as SOPR holds the line, DOGE still has a shot at defending the $0.20 support. In that case, this pullback looks more like a market-wide reset than a full-on conviction flush.

Supporting this, the breakdown below $0.24 swept through three consecutive liquidity pockets, triggering roughly $8 million in liquidations. Yet despite the cascade, DOGE printed a near 4% intraday reversal.

Structurally, this reinforces DOGE’s underlying support. If the bid continues to hold, price could be gearing up for a clean resistance-flip setup, potentially fueling the next leg toward the $0.30 target zone.

DOGE tests buyer commitment 

DOGE is closing in on a key inflection point. 

The memecoin has dropped over 17% in just two days, now leaning hard on the $0.20 demand zone. But as AMBCrypto pointed out, there’s no real sign of capitulation yet.

What has shifted is the derivatives side. Open Interest’s been nuked by nearly 18%, marking the biggest flush among the large caps. In turn, hinting at a heavy leverage reset rather than spot-driven panic.

Dogecoin OI

Source: Coinglass

Backing that up, smart money wallets have scooped up over 310 million DOGE in the last 48 hours. 

With bid-side flows still soaking up the unwind and SOPR holding above 1 (no capitulation just yet), DOGE looks like it’s working through a controlled leverage reset.

In turn, laying the groundwork for DOGE to break $0.28 ceiling in the next bullish leg.

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Ritika Gupta is a Financial Journalist and Geopolitical Analyst at AMBCrypto, specializing in the critical intersection of world politics, economic policy, and the cryptocurrency markets. Her analysis is informed by her distinguished background, which includes professional experience at major news network.
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