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Can a reset in Bitcoin’s Fear and Greed Index mark a new cycle phase?

2min Read

During the last cycle, a brush of the “Is this a bubble?” territory marked the cycle’s top. If that occurs in November 2025, the price of Bitcoin would be $385k.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index Drop: What It Means for BTC's Next Move

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  • The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index showed a healthy reset recently.
  • The price action was firmly bullish, although a deeper retracement can’t be fully discounted.

Bitcoin [BTC] was trading at $92.8k, at press time. This was a short-term demand zone, a bullish order block formed on the 26th of November. Despite the tepid price action in recent weeks, the market sentiment remained greedy.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed

Source: Alternative.me

The reading of 64 reflects a drop from the 75+ values observed in the second half of November when the uptrend accelerated. The correction over the past two weeks has hurt sentiment but also provided a much-needed reset.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Over Time

Source: Alternative.me

The Bitcoin Fear and Greed readings over time showed that the recent rejection from $100k has reset greed to 64. This value was lower than any that was seen since the 15th of October. Yet, the price of Bitcoin is up by 40.57% since then.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed from the price charts

Bitcoin 1-week Chart

Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView

The price charts of any asset are also a gauge of sentiment. The price movement over time, across different timeframes, represents fear and greed in the form of candles. With that in mind, the weekly price chart of BTC also reflected strong greed or bullishness.

A retracement to $77k, the 20-week moving average, would not quell this belief. At press time, it was unclear if such a drop should be expected. Analysis of on-chain metrics elsewhere showed that a price surge was more likely than further losses.

The Bitcoin Rainbow chart showed a bullish trend. Despite Bitcoin surpassing $100k earlier this month, the Rainbow chart still signaled “Accumulate.” Even if Bitcoin reaches $151k by the second week of February, the Rainbow chart would label it as “still cheap.”


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In the last cycle, reaching the “Is this a bubble?” territory marked the peak. If this happens in November 2025, Bitcoin’s price would be $385k.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

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Having studied Chemical Engineering, Akashnath's focus is on the UK and Indian markets and especially crypto assets. He is devoted to technical analysis and is always on the lookout for investment opportunities.
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